McCain / Harper ’08
Many people have asked ”WHY is Harper taking Canada into an election,” since:
- There’s no evidence that parliament has been any more dysfunctional in the past couple of months than at any other time in the past (in fact, the House has been in recess since June 20), although Harper has claimed this is the main reason he’s decided to call the election.
- Harper promised Canada accountability from the Prime Minister in the form of fixed election dates, under which law the next election was scheduled for October 2009.
So why then, has Harper suddenly decided to have an election?
The answer? He didn’t suddenly decide anything. This has been his plan for a long time.
Consider this:
- The Conservatives launched a thinly veiled pre-election campaign last winter in the form of “10-percent” flyer mailings into key contested ridings.
- The “10-percent” flyers accelerated threefold in volume and frequency in the 2 months leading up to the election call.
This is pretty strong evidence of premeditation. But it doesn’t answer the question of WHY…?!? Here’s what I think.
This year’s election is simply the final stage of a two-part plan to put Canada in synch with the US election cycle.
Harper is simply following his long-term plan by proving his membership in America’s “coalition of the more-than-willing.”
By doing this Harper is helping John McCain since Canadian polls and Canadian journalists have been showing a strong preference for Obama and because many Americans include a sampling of Canadian media while considering their election choices.

It's what friends do!
The 2004 Presidential election was the main impetus for this effort, since Canadian media was highly critical of Bush during that campaign.
This journalism is outside the reach of US government and US media control or manipulation, yet it is widely followed by Americans seeking impartial, independent news and analysis. This is something the Republicans have long wanted to curtail — and voila — Harper is giving it to them.
But now the US Republican Party can enjoy at least 35 days of greatly limited commentary and coverage from Canadian journalists during the bulk of their election.
It’s a lovely break for them, isn’t it? Wouldn’t anyone want to silence a vocal and effective critic that had operated unrestrained just out of reach?
So, we’ve been privileged to witness Harper’s act of fealty to his US patrons and mentors. And if we watch closely we’ll probably even get to see evidence of their gratitude in the next 35 days, since I’m sure the Bush Administration has some gesture of endorsement planned.
Of course, whatever small contribution we Canadians have previously been able to make to the US political process (our most important partner in every possible sense), has been greatly diminished by this synchronization – and the US electoral process has been cheated of an additional and valuable input – but Harper managed to show his allegiance and that’s what really matters to him.
Isn’t democracy grand?
NOTE: Of course there’s another reason for the election too. Harper obviously thinks he can win. Or, at the very least he thinks he’s got a better chance of winning now than if he waits while the economy heads into a tailspin like America’s. If he didn’t think he could win he wouldn’t have followed through on stage two yet. But that’s just politics and opportunism, plain and simple. It’s Harper’s plan that’s dark and sinister. Because even if there was no economic cloud on the horizon, Harper would still be calling this election.
That’s just what friends do.